Wednesday, March 2, 2016

The Campaign Trail 2016: Super Tuesday



Yesterday was Super Tuesday, the biggest day in the modern race to The White House and for Donald Trump and former Senator Hillary Clinton it certainly was a super day. For everybody else in the race it was an abysmal day.

For the Republicans, Trump was the huge winner. He won seven of the eleven states that held Republican primaries or caucuses. Senator Ted Cruz came in second with three wins and Senator Marco Rubio trailed third with one win. Gov. John Kasich and Ben Carson failed to take a single state.

Las Vegas bookmakers would now tell you that Trump is the safe bet for the Republican nominee for president. Odds currently look bleak for Cruz knocking Trump from his first place seat but it isn't out of the realm of possibility. As far as this election is concerned, Rubio, Kasich, and Carson are dead men walking. At this point all three should drop out. Speculation can now begin as to whether Gov. Chris Christie, who has been stumping for Trump since his endorsement of the billionaire last week, will be Trump's pick for vice president.

A breakdown of how each Super Tuesday state went is available below.

The Alabama primary, which had 50 delegates up for grabs, went to Trump with 43 percent of the vote, giving him 36 delegates from Alabama. Second place went to Cruz with 21.1 percent of the vote, giving him 13 delegates, and the third place spot went to Rubio with 18.7 percent of the vote, giving him one delegate. Carson took fourth and Kasich finished in last place.

Alaska had their caucuses yesterday and had 28 delegates up for grabs. Cruz took the number one spot with 36.4 percent of the vote and 12 of the delegates. Trump was a close second place with 33.5 percent of the vote and 11 delegates. Rubio was a distant third with 15.1 percent of the vote and gaining five delegates. Carson took the fourth place slot and Kasich finished last again.

As of the time of printing Arkansas hadn't finished tallying the results from their primary. However it is safe to state that Trump took the first slot with Cruz in second and Rubio in third. The fourth place slot went to Carson with Kasich finishing last yet again. Arkansas has 40 delegates up for grabs and the exact amount each candidate will get has not yet been finalized but Trump will be receiving at least 16 delegates , Cruz will be receiving at least 14 delegates, and Rubio will be receiving at least nine delegates from Arkansas.

Georgia is also still tallying the results from their Republican primary as well so delegate awards aren't finalized yet either but it is safe to call Trump the winner, with Rubio in second place and Cruz in third place. Carson is again in the fourth slot with Kasich again finishing fifth. Georgia has 76 delegates up for grabs which will be divided up among Trump, Rubio, and Cruz.

Massachusetts has 42 delegates up for grabs in their primary and Trump took the first place slot by a huge margin with 49.3 percent of the vote. Kasich was in distant second with 18 percent of the vote and Rubio took third with 17.8 percent of the vote. Cruz took the fourth place spot with 9.6% of the vote and Carson was in last place. Trump will get 22 delegates from Massachusetts, Kasich and Rubio both get eight delegates each, and Cruz will get four delegates.

Minnesota is still tallying up the results from their caucuses and so who gets what percentage of their 38 delegates is still undecided as well. The final positions for the candidates are clear at this time though. Rubio took his only first place spot in Minnesota. Cruz took the second place spot and Trump took the third place spot. As we have seen several times already Carson was in fourth with Kasich in fifth. Rubio will receive at least 17 delegates, Cruz will receive at least 13 delegates, and Trump will receive at least eight delegates.

Oklahoma had 43 delegates to award and Cruz took the top. He was followed by Trump and then Rubio. Carson and Kasich took fourth and fifth respectively. As of yet the full dispersion of delegates for Oklahoma has not been finalized. Cruz will receive at least 14 delegates, Trump will receive at least 12 delegates, and Rubio will receive at least 11 delegates.

In Tennessee a total of 58 delegates were up for grabs. Trump came in first with 38.9 percent of the vote and walked away with 31 delegates. Cruz took the second place slot with 24.7 percent of the vote and collected 14 delegates and Rubio came in third with 21.2 percent of the vote and gained nine more delegates. Carson and Kasich came in fourth and fifth as we have seen over and over again last night. The rest of the delegates haven't been dispersed yet.

In Texas there was gold last night with 155 delegates up for the taking, the biggest award of the night. Cruz took the top slot by a landslide with 43.8 percent of the vote and will be receiving over 99 delegates. Trump took the number two spot with 26.8 percent of the vote and will be getting over 38 delegates and Rubio was a distant third with 17.7 percent of the vote and at least four delegates. The rest of the delegates haven't been dispersed yet.

In Vermont there were 16 delegates up for grabs and Trump was the victor, with 32.7 percent of the vote, with Kasich in a very close number two finish, with 30.4 percent of the vote. Rubio was a distant third with 19.3 percent and Cruz and Carson took up fourth and fifth respectively. So far Vermont has awarded Trump and Kasich six delegates each. The rest have not yet been dispersed.

The last contest of the day took place in the Commonwealth of Virginia where 49 delegates were at stake. Trump took the first prize slot with 34.7 percent of the vote and 17 delegates. Rubio came in a very close second with 31.9 percent of the vote and collected 16 delegates. Cruz came in a distant third and collected eight delegates. Kasich came in fourth and collected five delegates and Carson came in fifth and collected three delegates, the only delegates he collected on Super Tuesday.

A total of 595 delegates will be awarded for the night. With the delegates that have been awarded Trump has collected 197 so far with more to come for the night and Cruz has collected 191 so far with more to come. Rubio, who mostly got third place all night, has collected 80 with more to come. Kasich, who outside of getting second place twice couldn't stay out of fourth and fifth place, will be getting at least 19 delegates. Carson, who couldn't get out of fourth and fifth place, will be getting at least three delegates.

Next up for the Republican caucuses are Kansas, with 40 delegates up for grabs, Kentucky, with 46 delegates up for grabs, and Maine, with 23 delegates up for grabs on March 5th. Also on March 5th will be the Republican primaries in Louisiana, with 46 delegates up for grabs.

For the Democrats, Clinton dominated the day with wins in seven of the eleven states up for grabs and she also took the territory that also held their caucuses on Super Tuesday. Senator Bernie Sanders took four of the states.

As of this moment Las Vegas bookmakers wouldn't tell you that the Democratic nominee is as safe a bet to call as of yet. While yes Clinton has collected more delegates than Sanders through citizens voting and has collected considerably more of the superdelegates pledged than Sanders has, as far as the delegates that have been bound through voting Sanders still isn't that far behind Clinton. And superdelegates aren't bound until actually pledged at the Democratic National Convention. While the odds are slowly slipping away from him, Sanders could still win the Democratic nomination.

A breakdown of how each Super Tuesday state and territory went is available below.

In Alabama there were 50 delegates up for stake and Clinton dominated first place with 77.8 percent of the vote. Clinton walked away with 44 of the delegates and Sanders received the other nine. In Arkansas voters were awarding 32 delegates. Clinton won with 66.3 percent of the vote and received another 22 delegates. Sanders got the remaining ten. In the Colorado caucuses 66 delegates were at stake and Sanders won with 59 percent of the vote and received 38 delegates. Clinton received the remaining 28.

In Georgia there were 102 delegates up for grabs and the state is still dividing up the delegates. Clinton won the state with a dominating 71.3 percent of the vote and is getting at least 72 delegates. So far Sanders has been awarded 28 delegates. In Massachusetts there were 91 delegates at stake and Clinton narrowly beat Sanders with 50.1 percent of the vote. The delegates are almost split in half with Clinton getting 46 and Sanders getting 45. Minnesota is still tallying up the results of their caucuses but Sanders is the clear winner. Of the 77 delegates up for grabs so far Sanders has collected 46 and Clinton has collected 29.

Oklahoma voters went with Sanders in a narrow victory awarding him 51.9 percent of the vote. The total division of the delegates hasn't been finalized yet but so far Sanders has collected 21 of the 38 total delegates up for grabs and Clinton has collected 16. In Tennessee, where 67 delegates were up for grabs Clinton won the state with 66.1 percent of the vote. The final delegate awards have not been finalized but so far Clinton has collected 42 delegates and Sanders 22 delegates. In Texas the biggest prize of the night, 222 delegates were up for grabs. Clinton managed to take first place with 65.2 percent of the vote. Texas is still divvying up the delegates but so far Clinton has received 144 and Sanders has gotten 73.

Sanders' home state of Vermont had 16 delegates up for grabs and Sanders dominated the state with 86.1 percent of the vote taking all 16 delegates. And last, but not least, in the Commonwealth of Virginia there were 95 delegates up for grabs. The final division of the delegates is still being decided. Clinton won Virginia with 64.3 percent of the vote. So far she has collected 61 of the delegates and Sanders has collected 32 delegates.

In the American territory of American Samoa, seven South Pacific islands near Australia with a population of roughly 52,000 Clinton was the winner. Since American Samoa is a territory and not a state, they can participate in the nomination process for president but they can't vote in the general election. A total of 223 voters came out to caucus in American Samoa with 73 percent of the caucus goers voting for Clinton and awarding her eight delegates. Sanders ended up with three delegates from the territory.

A total of 870 delegates were at stake for the night and so far Clinton has collected 512 of them and Sanders has collected 343 of them. If Sanders can't start collecting more delegates, he won't become the Democratic nominee.

Next up for the Democratic caucuses are Kansas, with 33 delegates up for grabs, and Nebraska, with 25 delegates up for grabs on March 5th. Also on March 5th will be the Democratic primaries in Louisiana, with 51 delegates up for grabs. Democrats will also caucus in Maine for 25 delegates on March 6.

For the next coverage of The Campaign Trail 2016, for both the Republican and Democratic parties, return on March 4th.

No comments:

Post a Comment