Since the Republican primary hopefuls
had their last showdown in South Carolina the field has shrunk yet
again, but not as much as it should have. Former Gov. Jeb Bush
dropped out of the race before the South Carolina results were even
final yet Ben Carson is still keeping his life support running
refusing to drop out of the primaries.
Nevada is a key state for everyone left
in the race. After his decisive South Carolina win, Donald Trump is
leading the delegate count by a large margin and one week after
Nevada speaks is Super Tuesday, where roughly half the necessary
delegates for winning the Republican primary nomination are at stake.
As it stands right now, the front
runner Trump way under performed in Iowa and followed up with two
crushing wins in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He will obviously
be eyeing that top spot to keep adding to his delegate pile. Senator
Ted Cruz won Iowa, did well with his third place win in New Hampshire
and under performed with his third place win in South Carolina. He
needs that top spot to stay viable in this race. Senator Marco Rubio
did better than expected in Iowa with his third place win, way under
performed in New Hampshire with his fifth place slaughter in New
Hampshire, and well with his second place win in South Carolina. He
will want that first place finish to show he is the moderate
conservative in this race to vote for. Gov. John Kasich was
decimated in Iowa with his eighth place finish, did well in New
Hampshire with his second place win, and decimated in South Carolina
with his fifth place finish. He has to get a first place win to stay
alive in this race allowing him to continue on and prove that he is
the moderate conservative of choice. Carson did poorly in Iowa with
his fourth place finish, horrifically poor with eighth place finish
in New Hampshire losing only to former Gov. Jim Gilmore and was
brutally decimated in South Carolina with his sixth place dead last
finish. Outside of a landslide victory in Nevada Carson has nothing
to hope for.
Before Super Tuesday the Republican
field needs to narrow down to Trump, Cruz as the social conservative,
and either Rubio or Kasich as the moderate conservative for the rest
of the Republican primary cycle. Two of the remaining candidates
will need to drop out after Nevada depending on the results.
As for what to expect? Trump, as
normal, is polling high. Cruz and Rubio are polling in the middle.
And Kasich and Carson are polling at the bottom. However it is how
the people go out and actually vote that matters and polls have been
very inaccurate in Nevada before.
For the next coverage of the Republican
primaries return after the Republican Nevada Caucuses are over and
for the next coverage of the Democratic primaries return on the
26th.
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